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Red64
566116.8
421625.8
353632.2
Blue84
528217.7
85845.1
553325.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448201001502006484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.6
21.622.2
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 12.9
858
#3
45.10.2
34.134.4
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
25.80.6
18.619.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
5533
#21
25.20.2
29.029.2
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
5661
#12
16.80.6
11.512.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5282
#16
17.70.2
15.916.2
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0