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Red46
508413.4
55277.9
531625.7
Blue9
354626.2
570413.6
546029.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3064050100150200469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5316
#13
25.70.5
22.022.4
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
29.60.8
20.419.6
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
5084
#26
13.40.5
8.69.0
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3546
#14
26.20.8
28.227.4
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5527
#19
7.90.5
6.26.7
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5704
#39
13.60.8
12.211.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0