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Red80
356820.9
85845.1
421625.8
Blue28
52057.7
550218.1
569715.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7936020601001201401608028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
45.10.2
31.932.2
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 27.0
5502
#33
18.10.8
20.920.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
25.80.2
19.920.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 10.0
5697
#18
15.80.8
15.614.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
3568
#22
20.90.2
23.123.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 13.2
5205
#30
7.70.8
7.66.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0