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Red20
477619.2
370715.9
555922.5
Blue80
528217.7
531625.7
6848.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41670501001502002080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5559
#25
22.51.3
20.218.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 26.2
68
#2
48.70.7
23.924.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
19.21.3
7.86.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5316
#13
25.70.7
24.325.0
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
3707
#29
15.91.3
18.417.1
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5282
#16
17.70.7
16.917.7
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0