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Red77
477619.2
499811.0
544711.8
Blue84
353632.2
52337.3
553325.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225701001507784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.22.7
9.211.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 13.1
32.21.5
22.423.9
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
5447
#37
11.82.7
9.111.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 13.3
5533
#21
25.21.5
28.530.0
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
4998
#36
11.02.7
10.313.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
5233
#38
7.31.5
2.94.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0