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Red136
6848.7
150232.2
30832.6
Blue68
555922.5
550218.1
508413.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973805015020013668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#2
48.72.2
31.433.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 26.2
5559
#25
22.50.9
20.921.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
308
#10
32.62.2
30.332.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 14.5
5502
#33
18.10.9
18.219.2
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
32.22.2
29.631.8
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 18.8
5084
#26
13.40.9
9.910.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End0.0