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Red104
566116.8
356820.9
546029.6
Blue80
421625.8
525118.6
3223.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60260408010012014016010480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.4
18.821.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
25.82.4
18.220.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
3568
#22
20.92.4
22.524.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
5251
#20
18.62.4
11.313.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5661
#12
16.82.4
15.718.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
322
#40
3.72.4
2.75.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0