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Red17
366712.7
356820.9
370715.9
Blue52
566116.8
55277.9
150232.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149204060801001752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#22
20.91.7
24.923.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 11.3
32.20.3
31.832.1
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
3707
#29
15.91.7
14.412.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5661
#12
16.80.3
18.018.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
3667
#23
12.71.7
12.310.5
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
5527
#19
7.90.3
2.83.1
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0