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Red49
52057.7
365513.0
570413.6
Blue63
528217.7
552319.0
499811.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334401001502002504963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5704
#39
13.60.7
11.312.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 5.4
5523
#15
19.01.0
16.017.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3655
#27
13.00.7
13.914.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5282
#16
17.71.0
14.715.6
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5205
#30
7.70.7
10.311.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4998
#36
11.01.0
13.014.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0