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Red18
52337.3
555922.5
52057.7
Blue26
546029.6
370715.9
550218.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335301001501826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5559
#25
22.51.0
22.421.4
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
29.61.3
20.619.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
5205
#30
7.71.0
11.010.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 10.4
5502
#33
18.11.3
18.417.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5233
#38
7.31.0
3.92.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3707
#29
15.91.3
12.711.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0