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Red92
70330.7
55277.9
85845.1
Blue10
365513.0
528217.7
56949.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801001209210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
45.11.7
37.739.4
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 27.4
5282
#16
17.71.4
15.614.2
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
703
#11
30.71.7
17.118.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 17.7
3655
#27
13.01.4
14.613.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5527
#19
7.91.7
3.14.8
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5694
#32
9.31.4
7.66.2
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0