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Red49
499811.0
555922.5
546029.6
Blue20
440810.4
508413.4
567612.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5824040801001201404920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
19.319.0
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 16.2
5084
#26
13.40.2
9.79.4
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
5559
#25
22.50.3
21.421.1
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 10.4
5676
#28
12.10.2
12.111.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
4998
#36
11.00.3
14.013.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.6
4408
#31
10.40.2
8.48.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0