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Red50
70330.7
550218.1
353632.2
Blue20
569715.8
566116.8
499811.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684002060801001201401605020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
27.227.0
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 15.4
5661
#12
16.81.3
16.014.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
703
#11
30.70.2
22.222.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 14.8
5697
#18
15.81.3
16.815.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5502
#33
18.10.2
16.616.4
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 7.1
4998
#36
11.01.3
12.611.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0