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Red68
16849.7
55277.9
30832.6
Blue158
526031.9
6848.7
525118.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348805010015020068158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#10
32.61.2
29.630.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
blue by 16.2
68
#2
48.73.8
41.345.1
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
1684
#34
9.71.2
7.38.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 22.2
31.93.8
26.129.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
5527
#19
7.91.2
6.57.8
Auto0.7
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 10.7
5251
#20
18.63.8
15.018.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0