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Red70
365513.0
354626.2
526031.9
Blue15
70330.7
52337.3
356820.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201407015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.6
21.822.5
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
703
#11
30.70.9
18.918.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
3546
#14
26.20.6
26.226.8
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 5.2
3568
#22
20.90.9
23.422.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
3655
#27
13.00.6
9.510.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 5.7
5233
#38
7.30.9
2.71.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0