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Red5
544711.8
531625.7
550218.1
Blue67
421625.8
528217.7
31479.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions461070150200567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5316
#13
25.72.3
25.022.7
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 53.5
314
#1
79.21.7
63.061.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop79.5
End0.0
Second
5502
#33
18.12.3
20.117.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 7.8
25.81.7
20.218.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5447
#37
11.82.3
11.99.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5282
#16
17.71.7
17.716.0
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0