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Red112
531625.7
546029.6
353524.7
Blue77
570413.6
70330.7
366712.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56380208010012011277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.8
19.522.4
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
703
#11
30.71.8
22.023.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
5316
#13
25.72.8
21.524.4
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 12.0
5704
#39
13.61.8
10.812.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
3535
#17
24.72.8
14.317.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 12.1
3667
#23
12.71.8
9.210.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0