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Red132
353632.2
528217.7
555922.5
Blue83
567612.1
526031.9
356820.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615820408010012013283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.23.5
27.030.5
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
31.91.1
29.930.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
5559
#25
22.53.5
19.322.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
3568
#22
20.91.1
20.821.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
5282
#16
17.73.5
15.418.9
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 5.6
5676
#28
12.11.1
11.312.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0