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Red128
575618.5
54853.1
137.9
Blue83
28041.9
570815.4
439024.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57410208010012014012883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
53.13.6
27.631.2
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 11.2
280
#5
41.91.9
29.431.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
1
#11
37.93.6
24.528.1
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 13.5
4390
#17
24.41.9
10.712.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
5756
#32
18.53.6
4.17.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
5708
#31
15.43.2
5.18.2
Auto0.4
Teleop14.9
End0.0