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Red12
56415.8
440519.9
24420.2
Blue10
515020.8
28820.0
20489.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3733102030405060701210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#37
20.21.3
20.319.0
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5150
#25
20.81.3
9.27.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
4405
#30
19.91.3
9.68.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
288
#29
20.01.3
22.020.7
Auto0.8
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5641
#39
5.81.3
7.56.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2048
#33
9.91.3
3.92.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.3
End0.0