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Red122
439024.4
54853.1
356823.1
Blue105
440519.9
137.9
125031.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65624050708090100110120122105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
53.12.7
34.537.2
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 15.2
1
#11
37.92.0
31.833.8
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Second
4390
#17
24.42.7
13.716.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
1250
#15
31.52.0
23.625.6
Auto0.9
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
3568
#26
23.14.6
19.023.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
4405
#30
19.92.0
9.211.2
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0