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Red17
476817.7
511439.3
569514.7
Blue58
570815.4
283223.4
24420.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65370501001501758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.32.3
29.126.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
2832
#18
23.41.1
12.513.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
4768
#19
17.72.3
17.915.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
244
#37
20.21.1
19.320.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
5695
#35
14.72.3
16.113.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5708
#31
15.41.8
10.812.6
Auto0.4
Teleop14.9
End0.0