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Red21
214525.0
28820.0
546715.1
Blue92
436241.1
50340.2
222421.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427201001502002502192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.4
18.417.0
Auto0.5
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 16.1
4362
#13
41.11.1
29.330.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
288
#29
20.01.4
22.320.9
Auto0.8
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 20.2
503
#12
40.21.1
21.822.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
5467
#27
15.11.4
8.16.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 5.9
2224
#20
21.01.1
19.220.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0