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Red70
296036.9
575618.5
515020.8
Blue38
500810.3
5137.3
553121.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416101001502002503003507038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.2
24.225.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
51
#14
37.31.1
36.335.2
Auto0.8
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
5150
#25
20.81.2
12.714.0
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5531
#22
21.51.1
13.812.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5756
#32
18.51.2
8.910.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
5008
#36
10.31.1
10.39.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.5
End0.0