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Red49
52175.0
569514.7
28041.9
Blue34
125031.5
56415.8
515020.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5451203040607080904934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#5
41.90.3
35.835.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 10.4
1250
#15
31.51.0
29.128.2
Auto0.9
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
5695
#35
14.70.3
12.612.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 6.1
5150
#25
20.81.0
14.213.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
5217
#40
5.00.5
7.46.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5641
#39
5.81.0
10.49.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End0.0