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Red33
500810.3
28820.0
283223.4
Blue11
356823.1
570815.4
3139.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049203040603311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#18
23.40.9
17.016.0
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
3568
#26
23.12.2
27.124.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
288
#29
20.00.9
25.624.7
Auto0.8
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
5708
#31
15.42.2
16.013.8
Auto0.4
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
5008
#36
10.30.9
9.28.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
313
#38
9.41.4
8.26.7
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End0.0