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Red85
506624.1
222421.0
5137.3
Blue172
54853.1
553021.8
553121.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72718010012014085172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#14
37.30.5
33.333.8
Auto0.8
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 15.8
548
#2
53.14.9
40.645.5
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
Second
5066
#23
24.10.8
19.520.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 2.4
5530
#24
21.84.9
17.622.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
2224
#20
21.00.5
21.421.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5531
#22
21.54.9
15.720.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0