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Red45
546715.1
125031.5
283223.4
Blue28
20489.9
56415.8
5137.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404601001502002503003504004528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#15
31.50.2
23.623.8
Auto0.9
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
51
#14
37.30.6
33.633.0
Auto0.8
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
2832
#18
23.40.2
11.711.8
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
2048
#33
9.90.6
4.53.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
5467
#27
15.10.2
6.76.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 9.3
5641
#39
5.80.6
8.17.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End0.0