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Red87
262016.9
296036.9
476817.7
Blue88
214525.0
569514.7
506624.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463702060801001208788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.4
20.122.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 11.9
25.02.4
14.817.2
Auto0.5
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4768
#19
17.72.4
10.813.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5066
#23
24.14.0
12.216.2
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
2620
#28
16.92.4
15.017.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
5695
#35
14.72.4
12.815.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0