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Red67
29719.0
515535.0
511018.2
Blue72
150626.5
550930.7
522926.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73704060801001206772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
35.535.4
Auto0.2
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
5509
#10
30.70.1
27.727.7
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
297
#21
19.00.1
19.519.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 7.7
5229
#25
26.70.1
23.823.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5110
#26
18.20.1
18.718.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1506
#20
26.50.1
23.523.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0