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Red91
361831.2
357030.8
498825.7
Blue107
150626.5
550930.7
522926.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887320406010012014016091107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.0
31.631.6
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
5509
#10
30.70.5
28.829.3
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
30.80.0
31.231.2
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
5229
#25
26.70.5
24.825.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
4988
#14
25.70.0
26.126.1
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 0.8
1506
#20
26.50.5
24.625.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0