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Red22
548718.0
481922.3
523113.0
Blue22
29719.0
150626.5
542412.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354301001502002502222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4819
#17
22.30.8
21.120.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
1506
#20
26.51.1
19.418.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
5487
#12
18.00.8
7.16.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
297
#21
19.01.1
10.59.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5231
#37
13.00.8
9.48.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
5424
#36
12.31.1
13.112.1
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0