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Red5
569715.6
521512.4
554715.9
Blue56
522422.2
498825.7
522217.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263906080100120140160556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#29
15.91.2
11.910.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4988
#14
25.70.9
19.119.9
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
5697
#33
15.62.0
6.34.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 6.6
22.20.9
15.316.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
5215
#38
12.41.2
11.19.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.1
5222
#15
17.50.9
4.45.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0