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Red79
30216.3
521625.4
550930.7
Blue90
361831.2
548718.0
522422.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404601002003004005007990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#10
30.71.8
22.824.7
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
31.22.2
24.126.2
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
25.41.8
15.517.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
22.22.2
16.218.4
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
302
#16
16.31.8
3.95.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5487
#12
18.02.2
6.48.5
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0