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Red50
570323.1
520313.3
515616.6
Blue62
516620.0
569715.6
357030.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40371020305060705062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5703
#13
23.10.4
14.915.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 7.7
30.81.2
17.819.0
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5156
#18
16.60.4
13.714.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5166
#28
20.01.2
16.517.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5203
#35
13.30.7
12.413.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5697
#33
15.62.0
4.36.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0