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Red18
70318.9
523113.0
150626.5
Blue2
571221.2
525717.8
552521.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35490100150200182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
26.51.0
18.417.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 5.3
5712
#30
21.22.0
19.517.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
703
#31
18.91.7
11.59.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5525
#19
21.12.0
13.411.4
Auto1.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5231
#37
13.01.0
8.77.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5257
#23
17.82.0
15.713.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0