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Red50
214511.3
560333.7
542412.3
Blue68
261942.1
550422.4
511018.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456601001505068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
23.723.7
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
blue by 8.3
42.10.1
31.231.4
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
5424
#36
12.30.0
12.112.1
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 10.1
5504
#11
22.40.1
15.215.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
2145
#40
11.30.0
14.214.2
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
5110
#26
18.20.1
18.718.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0