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Red44
481922.3
522217.5
150626.5
Blue52
553817.6
542412.3
522422.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444220305060704452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
26.50.1
17.317.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
22.20.4
18.418.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
4819
#17
22.30.1
20.820.8
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 4.7
5538
#22
17.60.4
13.113.5
Auto0.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5222
#15
17.50.1
7.17.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
5424
#36
12.30.4
12.112.5
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0