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Red62
552521.1
516620.0
261942.1
Blue47
521625.4
91016.7
437617.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6142020801001201406247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.1
31.331.4
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 16.7
25.40.3
17.417.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
5525
#19
21.10.1
11.411.5
Auto1.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 3.3
4376
#24
17.80.3
15.315.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5166
#28
20.00.1
17.717.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
910
#27
16.70.3
13.513.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0