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Red86
569715.6
522926.7
511018.2
Blue70
214511.3
29719.0
519315.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801001208670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5229
#25
26.71.8
22.724.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
297
#21
19.01.6
12.514.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
5110
#26
18.21.8
18.119.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
5193
#32
15.81.6
12.514.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
5697
#33
15.63.0
8.911.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
2145
#40
11.32.7
13.015.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0