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Red100
498825.7
520313.3
150626.5
Blue110
544713.0
516620.0
515535.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048304060708090100100110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
26.52.4
17.319.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 8.5
35.03.0
22.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
4988
#14
25.72.4
21.023.4
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 5.6
5166
#28
20.03.0
17.820.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5203
#35
13.34.0
13.317.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
5447
#34
13.05.0
10.015.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0