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Red130
560333.7
377027.7
521625.4
Blue101
70318.9
522217.5
571221.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74290204060100120140160130101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.73.0
24.827.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 12.5
5712
#30
21.23.2
16.820.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
27.73.0
26.829.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
703
#31
18.95.3
13.018.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
25.43.0
17.720.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 7.9
5222
#15
17.53.2
7.110.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0