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Red63
550930.7
548718.0
91016.7
Blue95
552521.1
550422.4
554715.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801001206395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#10
30.71.6
25.226.8
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 8.3
5504
#11
22.42.8
15.418.2
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
5487
#12
18.01.6
9.711.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5525
#19
21.12.8
11.514.2
Auto1.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
910
#27
16.71.6
13.815.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
5547
#29
15.92.8
12.815.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.7
End0.0