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Red54
481922.3
516620.0
30216.3
Blue77
56229.1
522217.5
357030.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801001201405477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4819
#17
22.30.1
20.820.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 8.5
30.81.9
21.323.1
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5166
#28
20.00.1
20.820.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
5222
#15
17.51.9
10.312.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
302
#16
16.30.1
10.110.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
5622
#39
9.11.9
8.310.2
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0