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Red56
522926.7
521512.4
361831.2
Blue35
520313.3
560333.7
523113.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5743020801001201405635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.1
22.822.7
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
33.70.6
23.723.1
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5229
#25
26.70.1
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 13.4
5203
#35
13.31.0
12.711.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5215
#38
12.40.1
11.211.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5231
#37
13.00.6
10.09.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0