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Red48
214511.3
437617.8
570323.1
Blue25
554715.9
519315.8
522217.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412702060801001204825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5703
#13
23.10.4
14.014.4
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 5.6
5222
#15
17.50.3
4.64.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
4376
#24
17.80.4
12.813.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 1.8
5547
#29
15.90.3
12.211.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
2145
#40
11.30.7
13.414.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5193
#32
15.80.3
13.613.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0