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Red122
554715.9
261942.1
522422.2
Blue61
570323.1
522926.7
571221.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695302040608010012014016012261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.12.6
34.437.0
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 15.3
5229
#25
26.70.2
23.924.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
22.22.6
20.022.6
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5703
#13
23.10.2
14.214.4
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5547
#29
15.92.6
14.917.6
Auto0.2
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5712
#30
21.20.2
19.019.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0