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Red34
150626.5
525717.8
521512.4
Blue10
521625.4
214511.3
548718.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048204060801003410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
26.50.8
19.518.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
25.42.1
21.119.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
5257
#23
17.80.8
17.116.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5487
#12
18.02.1
14.312.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
5215
#38
12.40.8
13.512.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
2145
#40
11.33.4
15.712.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0