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Red64
437617.8
523113.0
516620.0
Blue72
70318.9
550422.4
553817.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405601001502006472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#28
20.01.3
20.922.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5504
#11
22.40.8
21.021.8
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
4376
#24
17.81.3
14.716.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
703
#31
18.91.4
18.920.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5231
#37
13.01.3
8.29.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5538
#22
17.60.8
15.716.5
Auto0.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0