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Red88
550930.7
569715.6
571221.2
Blue88
357030.8
481922.3
560333.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538201001502002508888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#10
30.71.4
26.227.7
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.1
33.70.4
33.433.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5712
#30
21.21.4
19.220.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 9.5
30.80.4
23.123.5
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
5697
#33
15.62.4
14.316.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4819
#17
22.30.4
23.724.1
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0